Manifold · AI
Will METR publish an 80% task horizon of at least 16 hours for a pre-2028 AI model release?
Market-implied probability
92%
Last 24 hours
Edge Score
33/100 · Low priority
24h volume
$3K
Closes
2028-01-01
Don't miss the next move on this market
PredictEdge watches the odds for you — get an alert the moment this market crosses your line, plus AI analysis on demand.